NFL WEEK 7
Perhaps itâs my lot to go 4-4, as that seems to be the weekly result these days.Â Another 4-4 week raises the total to 17-22 on the year.Â Things should tighten up a bit from this week on as far as on field play goes.Â Bye weeks and in season practice will hopefullyÂ make the worst tackling in reason memory get better.Â Letâs take a look at this weekâs slate.Â As always any losses incurred by relying on said information is not the responsibility of me, The Mountain, Entercom communications, Entercom Northeast, its properties or its subsidiaries.
JETS (-1) over Chargers.Â Two teams that are evenly matched an in a position to turn the corner into legit contenders.Â The line I think is a fair line.Â Earlier in the season it was brought up to the players that they only had one 1pm east coast start this season.Â The players all said it was such a huge disadvantage to be a west coast team and play that early.Â Apparently in camp players only need 3-4 hours sleep so they can play video games all night, but during the season they need beddy-bye time.Â Such is life I suppose.Â Still any disadvantage on a close line is a huge hoop to jump through.Â Factor in that the Jets have won 6 of the last 7 tilts against the âboltsâ by at least a field goal, well that adds up to a trend.Â As Fireman Ed goes, so do I: J-E-T-S! JETS! JETS! JETS!
LIONS (-4 Â½) over Falcons.Â The this week is in Detroit.Â Those Lions need red meat.Â Just when you think thereâs a turnaround in the motor city, the Lions become a cover machine.Â LIONS
STEELERS (-4) over Cardinals.Â Andy Reid is the greatest coach ever!Â He gets hack QBs to play and trades them for big picks, only to have them exposed as frauds on their new teams (Kevin Kolb, A.J. Feeley).Â STEELERS
RAIDERS (-3 Â½) over Chiefs.Â Â Those Raiders have covered 8 in a row against divisional foes.Â No reason Â to stop now.Â Just cover baby!Â Raiders.
PACKERS (-10) over Vikings.Â Donnie Macâs numbers this year werenât that bad.Â At least not so bad he should take a benching playing with these hacks.Â After Adrian Peterson who else on offense can play?Â Chris Ponder is not the magic bullet.Â Meanwhile Aaron Rdgers is quietly putting together one of the all time great seasons any QB has ever had.Â Packers
RAMS (-10) over Cowboys.Â The Rams have won 6 of the last 10 against the pokes.Â Spread wise the Pokes have only beaten 2 of their last 10 by more than a touchdown.Â I had the Rams going 6-10 on the season, which makes them a perfect pain-in-the-Cowboys-neck team to be. Â RAMS
SAINTS (-14) over Colts.Â I have never seen one team so dependent on one player as the Colts are with Payton Manning.Â The Colts may go 0-16 this year.Â The Saints on the other hand are really pretty good.Â Saints here
RAVENS (-9) over Jaguars.Â If not for the Colts, the Jags would be the worst team in the NFL.Â And itâs almost Halloween.Â Cover the Ravens ever more.Â RAVENS
That's how i see it.Â Enjoy the games!
NFL WEEK 6
Another push last week going 4-4 brings us to 13-18.Â Not close and still so far, but a good week puts us back in the hunt.Â Thos Lions look for real.Â So do the Packers.Â Philadelphia forgot how to tackle.Â The Giants went to the locker room 2 minutes early and the Chiefs somehow look llike they might not be that bad.Â Letâs look at this week.Â .Â As always any losses incurred by relying on said information is not the responsibility of me, The Mountain, Entercom communications, Entercom Northeast, its properties or its subsidiaries.
LIONS (-4) Over 49ers.Â Those Lions are the best story of the year so far.Â Letâs not let it end so soon.Â Donât worry because the big cats are 10-1 ATS against teams with winning records.Â Look for that motor city mojo to keep on working.Â Lions
COLTS (+8) over Bengals.Â Why are the Bengals favorites?Â The may be 8-1 ATS but this spread is way too big.Â Curtis Painter wonât make anyone forget Payton manning, But Andy Daulton doesnât even make me forget Brian Sipe.Â Buy the âshoes.
EAGLES (pick) over Redskins.Â The Eagles really canât be that bad can they?Â The season isnât really over is it?Â Just a hunchâ¦.Birds
BILLS (+3 Â½) over Giants.Â Lucky for the Bills the birds left their tackling dummy behind when camp started.Â Now they take the momentum to the Giants.Â Those Bills are doing ti the old fashioned way; the y always hustle and never take a play off.Â Itâs refreshing.Â Bills
STEELERS (-14) over Jaguars.Â Good thing those Jags got rid of David Garrard.Â He could sleep in the huddle and be better that what theyâve got now.Â Itâs a lost season in Northern Florida.Â Steelers.
PATRIOTS (-7) over Cowboys.Â Câmon.Â Big Game.Â Tony Romo.Â Look at it this way Cowboy fans, Chan Gaileyâs got âem flying around the ball in Buffalo.Â Pats
BEARS (-2.5) over Vikings.Â Donny Mac is looking old and cold, and he plays in a dome.Â Bears.
JETS (-8) over Dolphins.Â Remember those great games from the 80âs?Â Thise light up the scoreboard air attack games that seemed like they played without cornerbacks and safeties?Â This wonât be one of those games.Â J-E-T-S-JETS-JETS-JETS
Thatâs how I see it.Â Enjoy the games
NFL Week 5
Another vanilla 3-3 week brings our total to 9-14.Â Time to start racking up some âWâs.âÂ The tricky part for the nextÂ 4 weeks is a reduced schedule from teams having byes.Â Crazy that 6 of the 8 weeks have teams off, but not in a row.Â What a wacky league.Â Lets take a look at whatâs up for this week.Â As always any losses incurred by relying on said information is not the responsibility of me, The Mountain, Entercom communications, Entercom Northeast, its properties or its subsidiaries
EAGLES (-1.5) over Bills.Â Why are the Eagles favored and not the Bills?Â Vegas thinks the Eagles are still the Eagles and the Bills are still the Bills.Â I agree.Â Look for Philadelphia to gigure things out this week in a big way.Â Eagles
BUCCANEERS (+1) over 49ers.Â San Francisco wins one of the ugliest games seen in public by fans not wearing bags and theyâre a favorite?Â Alex Smith almost got benched in the second half before stumbling Â on to 3 touchdowns.Â I like the Bucs big, over the past three years theyâve been cover monsters on the road.Â As they announcer used to crow in the old big sombrero, Â âTAAAAAAM-PAAAAH!â
CHARGERS(-3 Â½) over Broncos.Â The favorite has covered in 6 of the last 9 in the series and that favorite is usually Sand Diego.Â The thing about Denver is no one is afraid of them anymore.Â San Diego Super chargersâ¦
GIANTS (-11) over Seahawks.Â Normally I would stay away from this game.Â I try to pick Eagles, Giants, Steelers and Jets, plus Sunday and Monday nights, as those are the teams and games people tend to follow.Â This spread is really fat.Â On the other hand, the Seahawks have real problems.Â Tavris Jackson is, well, heâs not that good,Â Â That 1pm new York start time is not to favoring for those bay birds either.Â Giants in a romp.
STEELERSs (-3) over Titans.Â You know, I would roll with the powder blue here, but Kenny Britt on injured-reserve sways me to Pittsburgh.Â Be careful, these Steelers are suffering the post superbowl runner up hangover.Â Steelers.
FALCONS (+6) over Packers.Â All you need know about the Falcons is Matt Ryan is 22-2 at home.Â Those dirty birds are relentless.Â Falcons
JETS (+10) over Patriots.Â Psst, thereâs a blood fued between these teams, and the Patriots arenât as good as people like to believe..Â jets cover
LIONS (-5) over Bears.Â Once they dumped Matt Millon the Lions stock piled great players with those last place drafts.Â Pick first a few years in a row and youâll have a stud team, too.Â Lions
Thatâs how I see it, enjoy your games
NFL WEEK 4
3-3 last week brining the season total to an underwhelming 6-11.Â Itâs still going to take until week 7 or 8 to figure this year out.Â No mini camps, passing camps, OTAs, the talent is evaluated on the fly.Â Look at Philadelphia.Â When was the last time you heard of 4 starters being benched between the last preseason game and week 4?Â I was impressed with Tony Romo.Â I never saw anyone play in an NFL game with a pneumothorax before.Â Most people with punctured lungs lay around and complain.Â Not Romo. True to form he almost gave the game up late, but Rex Grossman stole that opportunity.Â Michael Vick should be careful what he asks for.Â If the refs call him tight itâs going to be football in the 80âs again.Â Remember the âgrasp and controlâ era that saw how many plays blown dead to protect the QB?Â It lead to some pretty lousy football.
Okay, letâs look at this weekâs slate of games.Â .Â Â Remember any losses encured by relying on said information is not the responsibility of me, The Mountain, Entercom communications, Entercom Northeast, its properties or its subsidiaries
LIONS (+1.5) Over Cowboys.Â Right now the lions may be the best team in football.Â Iâm not drunk.Â Really.Â Those Lions are tough.Â Theyâve won their last 6 in a row going back to last season, and 10 straight if you include the preseason.Â Best of all they are cover monsters beating the spread 9 of their last 10 against teams with winnign records and 12 of the last 15 overall.Â This is a gift.Â Take it.Â LIONS
BILLS (-3) over Bengals.Â My guess is the book makers thin there will be an emotional let down after the Bills came back and snuffed out the Patriots for the first time in 8 years.Â Every year has a âcardiac kidsâ team.Â The Bills may be that team.Â Donât bet against them. Those Bengals (Bungals?) are an anemic 1-14 ATS in week four.Â The Bills on the other hand are 9 -4 -1 ATS over all.Â Enough for you?Â BILLS
VIKINGS (pick) over Chiefs.Â The Chiefs have a bye week 6.Â That may be the date of Head Coach Todd Haileyâs firing.Â Donovan McNabb may not have much magic left, but he wonât lose the game with bad decisions.Â VIKINGS
Eagles (-10) over 49ers.Â If Mr. Candybones (Michael Vick) canât make it to the end of the game, Mr. Taffyjoints (Vince Young) is finally ready to step in.Â The 49ers are at a point in their rebuilding where they have to play mistake free offense to score 20 points and hope the defense holds.Â Eagles win Big
TEXANS (-3) over Steelers.Â The Steelers had problems with a really, really bad Colts team. You can best believe those Texans were jumped all week by coaches after letting the Saints get away.Â Those Texans are 8-1 ATS in week 4.Â TEXANS here.
RAVENS (-3 Â½) over Jets.Â The hook has gotten us a few time in this young season, but with Nick Mangold out against a superior Ravens defense how can I refuse?Â The Black birds are 11-4 ATS in week 4.Â Ravens.
Thatâs how I see it.Â Enjoy the games.
NFL Week 3
2-4 last week which brings the season total to 3-8.Â Very pedestrian.Â Of course who would have thought that after catching 13 balls Jeremy Machlin would let one hit between the 1 and the 8 and fall helplessly to the ground.Â Who would have thought a busted rib would produce Tony Romoâs best comeback?Â Actually when I think about it Donovan McNabbâs best game happened on a broken leg in Arizona.
Kansas Cityâs getting 16 Â½ already over San Diego.Â Thatâs a sucker bet.Â But there are a few games we can pick that seem worthy of our attention.Â So letâs go.Â Â Remember any losses encured by relying on said information is not the responsibility of me, The Mountain, Entercom communications, Entercom Northeast, its properties or its subsidiaries.
Letâs go take a peek at the weekâs action:
RAVENS (-3 Â½) over Rams.Â Â The hook burns us all in die time, but not this week.Â Â The Ravens are solid, the rams are not.Â The Giants made short work of those Rams who looked like they still hadnât healed from an Eagle beat down.Â Besides the ravens are cover monsters against teams with losing records.Â Ravens are the play
EAGLES (-9) over Giants,Â Looks like Michael vick will play whether he knows his name or not.Â In the Giants infirmary Mario Manningham, Osi Uminyiora,Â Dominick Hixon, Terrell Thomas and Prince Amukamara are all out.Â Remember if Desean Jackson doesnât run that punt back last year the Giants make the playoffs and the Packers are out.Â Eli Manningâs not playing well and Brandon Jacobs hasnât been the same since Tiki Barber retired.Â Add to it the Birds are cover monsters when favorites at home in odd number years..Â Fly Eagles Fly.
BILLS (+9) over Pats.Â How about a big cup of Fitz-magic?Â Iâm ready to drink!.Â The line dropped two points since the open, what more do you need?Â Â Bills
CARDINALS (-3) over Seahwaks,Â Tavaris Jackson is awful.Â But the Seahawk defense makes up for it by not tackling or covering.Â Watching them against the Steelers last week itâs obvious the Seattle boys couldnât stop a sink.Â Kold to Fitzgerald to victory.Â Cardinals here
LIONS (-4) over Vikings.Â Those Lions found a way to restore the roar.Â Itâs enough to get psyched for Thanksgiving!.Â The Vikings on the other hand are simply a team in decline.Â Lions
49ERS (-2 Â½) over Bengals.Â It used to be a team feared playing those Bengals in âthe Jungle.âÂ It seems when they blew up Riverfront Stadium they blew up the talent, too.Â The line has move 2 and a half points since the open.Â The open was a pick no doubt because the niners are on the road to what seems to them a 10am start.Â Theyâs be awake enough.Â Niners
Thatâs how I see it.Â Good luck and enjoy the games.
What a change a no football off season makes.Â Rule changes and a free agent frenzy.Â Thereâs a generation of fans who have never known a season without Brett Favre.Â Kickoffs will now happen at the 35 yard line.Â Last year the league got rid of the 4 man wedge.Â That saved the wedgebuster but brutalized the returners.Â Remember the Ellis Hobbs neck injury?Â All scoring plays will be automatically reviewed.Â I donât really like replay, but I hate the red flag coaches challenge. Â Â Getting it right means getting it right.Â At least a team may not get burned on a bad call at the end of the game because they already challenged 3 other bad calls.Â Also get ready for tight calls because now quarterbacks canât get hit while theyâre in the act of throwing the ball.
Get ready for some bad tackling.Â There was no offseason camp and training camp two-a-days were collectively bargained the way of the leather helmet.Â Hereâs one bold prediction: Now that the league can test players for human growth hormones, youâll see over the next 5 years players will get smaller.
Letâs take a look at some games.Â After my record last year I really shouldnât have to write this: Remember any losses incurred by relying on said information is not the responsibility of me, WDMT, Entercom Northeast, Entercom Communications, its properties or subsidiaries.
Here we go with Week 1
SAINTS (-4 Â½)Â over the Packers.Â Sure the Saints were shellacked by an inferior Seahawk team in the playoffs last year.Â The Pack on the other hand had to scrape to become a wild card.Â They certainly didnât dominate the league.Â The good news in Titletown is the reigning Superbowl champs werenât anymore distracted this offseason than any other team.Â The bad news is the Saints still have more talent, and theyâve covered 9 out of their last 13 on grass.Â Sing it with meâ¦Oh when the Saints come marching inâ¦.
JETS (-4) over Cowboys.Â The pokes will miss Marion Barber.Â Yeah he lost a step.Â The truth is Felix Jones was as effective because teams hated dealing with Barber.Â Itâs like boxing; Barber gave out the body blows that softened teams up for the rapid combo shots.Â Dez White showed promise.Â He also showed choke.Â Mark Sanchez is out to prove its okay to be in GQ when you can really play.Â Donât worry Cowboy fans, they wonât be as bad as last year.Â Itâs just not going to get better for them week 1.
J-E-T-S! JETS! JETS! JETS!
STEELERS (+2 Â½) over Ravens.Â The Steelers played well together last year.Â And theyâre all back.Â 22 of 24 starters.Â If there was a team built to survive no offseason and get off to a fast start itâs the Steelers.Â Â Topping that Ben Roethlisberger made positive headlines for a change this offseason.Â The Ravens made some big moves, but they shuffled the offensive line a bit.Â The underdog has covered 6 of the last 9 in this series and the Ravens have only covered 2 of their last 9 in September. Take the Steelers.
EAGLES (-4 Â½) over Rams.Â There are two ways teams will have an advantage the first six weeks: All your starters return (see Pittsburgh) or you field the best athletes.Â Â The Eagles have the best athlete at quarterback.Â Besides the Rams are 1-9-1 ATS on opening day, while the Birds have covered 7 of their last 9 meetings.Â Â Fly Eagles Fly, on the road to victoryâ¦.
GIANTS (+3) over Redskins.Â Joe Gibbs (2 Lombardi Trophies and inventer of the âcounter trayâ) and Marty Schottenheimer Â (over 200 regular season wins) couldnât save this team from Dan Snyder.Â Washington: first in war, first in peace and last in the NFC east.Â The Giants have won 9 of the last 10 straight up in the series.Â Look for Rex Grossman to complete three to guys wearing blue shirts.
Thatâs how I see it!Â Enjoy the games.
And The Winner Isâ¦
Sorry Pittsburgh, Iâm still on your bandwagon.Â Maybe thatâs a good thing?Â Looking at my record this season (Iâm embarrassed to even post it) I find a prime example of futility and failure.Â You could have made a living, a good living, but going against me.Â âThat prognosticator says this, so bet that!â should have been a winning model.Â One constant this year was the Steelers.Â I usually picked Eagles Steelers and Giant games because they seem to be the teams of dominant interest in NEPA (although there are strong pockets of Dallas, Green Bay and strangely Viking fans in the area).Â The Steelers brought home the bacon for me every week.
I break down the game this way:Â More experienced quarterback, proven running game and Â and experienced defense.Â Say what you want about Big Ben, but he consistently stands and takes more hits than any other QB I can recall, except Randall Cunningham, and maybe Vinnie Testaverde.Â His style of hold the ball until the play unfolds most likely has shaved a few years off the back end of his career.Â Yet heâs Â accurate and seldom makes bad decisions.Â When he does it still ends up well for him. See his prayer to Santonio Holmes against the cardinals to win Superbowl XVIII.Â NFL channel has been showing a special including footage of ben tossing the ball, knowing immediately it was a bad idea, then raising his arms to signal touchdown.Â His expression says it all: relief.
I think the difference between these teams will be special teams.Â Both teams are not known for stron special teams play.Â Youâll recall last yearâs game turned when Hank Baskett ham handed an onsides kick.Â Scott Norwoodâs infamous âpushâ to end Superbowl XXV another special teams âoops.âÂ Â Â That comes dwn to coaching and preparedness, and I give that nod to Mike Tomlin.Â When itâs all said and done, Tomlin may even edge out Chuck âmost under rated coach in NFL historyâ Knoll as the best of al Steeler coaches.
Some prop bets I found entertaining Include:
How long will Christina Augilara hold the note on âbraveâ in the National Anthem?Â Over/under is six seconds.
What will Fergie be wearing when halftime show starts? Skirt/dress, Pants, shorts, thong/G-String
Will a punt hit the scoreboard? (personally I hope 5 punts hit the scoreboard every time they play in that stadium.
What coor will the gatoraide be that drenches the head coach after the game?
If thereâs a picture of someone holding the lonvardi trophy on the cover of USA Today Mondya morning who will it be?
How many time will Jerry Jones be shown?
How many times will Brett Favre be mentioned?
How many times will the phrase âlockoutâ be mentioned.
More Points, Lebron James total or Steelers in first half?
What happens to the Dow Jones on Monday?
By the way, if you actually make a wager on any of these there are help lines for you.
Steelers are three point dogs in this game.Â No sweat.Â Put your fries in your sandwich and pick the Steelers.
Enjoy the game
Of all the football Sundays in all the world this Sunday has always beenÂ my favorite.Â More than the Superbowl, and more thanÂ those wonderful New Years Days of old when a college bowl game meant something Â special.Â The four teams left in the tournament are the best of the best.Â The oneâs who have shown up in the big games.Â This is why players make the millions they do; to play bigger than the weather when it counts the most.
Just a quick note:Jerome Bettis, Tim Brown, Cris Carter,Dermontti Dawson, Richard Dent , Chris Doleman, Marshall Faulk, Charles Haley , Chris Hanburger, Cortez Kennedy, Curtis Martin , Andre Reed, Les Richter, Willie Roaf, Ed Sabol, Deion Sanders , and Shannon Sharpe .Â Is this the fattest Hall of Fame final roster in recent memory?Â Who would you leave off?
Okay letâs look at some games:
Bears (+3) over Packers.Â Iâm not sold on the Packers.Â Philadelphia had a banged up defense and a coordinator who game planned badly after loosing âthe roomâ mid season and yet had Michael Vick thrown the ball 6 feet further Â the Pcakers lose that game.Â They looked good last week against a Falcon team that should have played better.Â I know Aaron Rodgers is playing lights out, but take him out and the Pack is just an average team.Â The Bears have three things I like: A better running game, Peppers, Harris and Urlacher on defense, and the worst field in football since the Vet blew up.Â Players slip and fall at solder field who arenât wearing Bear blue and orange.Â The Bears know what shoes to wear and how to run on that disaster field.Â Three things.Â Like three points.Â When the snow flurries come youâll think somewhere Poppa Bear Halas is sitting next to Walter Payton retelling the tall tales and loving it.Â Bears here.
Steelers (-3.5) over the Jets.Â Sorry Steeler fans.Â The only thing surer than the kiss of death all year has been the kiss of yours truly when picking games.Â I know I loved the Jets all year, but this isnât a spite pick.Â Last weeks game between the Jets and Patriots reminded me of Larry Holmes-Mohammad Ali.Â You thought Holmes had a real chance to win, but you expected so much more from the champ; just like I expected so much more from the Pats. I donât see the Steelers not showing up in a big game. Â I see the Steelers winning the whole thing.Â In my mind it comes down to Roethlisberger or Sanchez. Sorry Steeler fans.Â Black and gold is my pick.
Enjoy the games
Was that Seattle game fun last Saturday?Â Nothing like a great upset to make the whole wild card weekend come alive.Â Then the upsets kept coming.Â This weekend will be different.Â Look for the home teams to win.Â That week off to mend wounds and tweaked ankles and extra film study is too much of an advantage.Â The question is by how much do the home teams triumph? Â Well, letâs take a look:
Ravens (+10 Â½) over Steelers.Â Relax yinsers.Â The Steelers will win this one.Â Itâs just that the last 8 games have been decided by 4 points or less (actually 6 of the eight by a field goal).Â What about this Steeler offense would make you believe they can light it up on this Raven Defense?Â Ravens keep it close enough .
Falcons (-2) over Packers.Â The Packers almost blew it Sunday in Philadelphia.Â David Akers missed two field goals (one a gimme).Â Had Michael Vick tossed the last ball to Riley Cooper 5 feet farther the Eagles are in Atlanta.Â The Packers may still be the sexy pick, but the Falcons will be the NFC sacrifice to the Patriot Dynasty in Dallas.Â Â Falcons here.
Bears(-10) over Seahawks.Â Double Digit Dogs at home in November and December cover 88% of the time.Â Conversely in January the opposite is true.Â Double Digit dogs on the road fail to cover 92% of the time.Â The fun leaked out of the Seahawks balloon this week.Â Da Bears.
Patriots (-10) over Jets.Â Rex Ryan like his old man has to make the games personal.Â It goes over big with the fans.Â It goes over big with the other coaches, too, who have no problem closing their minds to the fact theyâre running up the score.Â The next time Bill Belecheck shows any compassion will be the first.Â Looks like a long day for Fireman Ed.Â Patriots.
Enjoy the games.Â Itâs the best time of the year.
âPlayoffs! Playoffs? You want to talk about Playoffs? Playoffs?âÂ Â Good olâ Jim Mora.Â Now there was aprÃ¨s conference.Â Be aware of the new overtime rule jut in time for the playoffs.Â You think the tuck rule was mind numbingly inconvenient?Â Now if the game goes to overtime,Â itâs not so sudden death.Â If the receiving team after the coin flip only kicks a field goal on the first possession the other team gets a possession.Â However if the team that wins the coin toss scores a touchdown on their first possession the game is over.Â There is the potential for all sorts of goofy stuff here.Â Can you imagine Rex Ryan after the Jets kick a field goal attempting an on sides kick because if the Colts cough it up thatâs their possession and the game is over.Â If the Colts cheerleaders are dancing barefoot olâ Rex just might have that sort of brain cramp.Â Itâs also a eek where all the talking heads get to concentrate on a few games and not many, so they can over think.Â It makes for entertaining TV sometimes, but it can also make for annoying co workers who are looking for ammunition to pester you.Â Letâs take a look at this weekes action.Â Remember any losses incurred by relying on the following information is not the responsibility of me, The Mountain, Entercomm Communications, Entercom Northeast, their properties or subsidiaries.
Eagles (-2.5) over Packers.Â The Packers are the Sexy pick.Â The Eagles laid an Egg against the Vikings and then the second stringers gave up the ghost against the cowboys with :55 seconds left.Â All of those talking heads picking Michael Vick as the MVP now have broken ankles from jumping off the bandwagon.Â Aaron Rodgers ahs made everyone forget Brett Who? (pull your pants up, dude.)Â Well looking at the history the Packers are 3-7 ATS their last 10 playoff games and that includes their Superbowl win.Â The are also3-7 ATS their last 10 against Philadelphia (4t and 26 anyone?)Â But the tell tale sign here is the money line.Â Remember the spread is not a prediction of the game, itâs a prediction of how people bet.Â The money line is what Vegas really thinks; and it reads Packers +125, Eagles-145.Â That means wager $100 on the pack and you win $125, but you have to wager $145 on the Eagles to win $100.Â Vegas likes Michael Vick, Me too,
Ravens (-3) over Chiefs.Â Yeah I really liked the chiefs to win the division.Â I am not sure if they match-up well enough against the Ravens.Â If you never saw Ray lLewis play in person its hard to explain the intensity he brings.Â Even though heâs getting old, he is still ferocious and he still OWNS the middle of the field.Â You canât practice against it. Â Â Iâm not sure the Chiefs will match the intensity.Â Oh, the money line? Ravens -170, Chiefs +150.Â Ravens here.
Colts (-3) over Jets.Â The bottom line is the Jets need a big game from Mark Sanchez.Â Not a huge game, just 5 more plays, 5 more throws.Â The problem is Mark Sanchez hasnât played well at all the past few weeks, at one point Rex Ryan (aka crazy head) openly talked about almost benching the quarterback,Â Donât buy the talk about the Jets being the more physical team.Â I was at the Linc this year when the Colts were in town.Â They are the dirtiest team in the league, bar none.Â The money line also favors the Colts.Â Me too,
Saints (-11) over Seahwks.Â Keep in mind if the â85 Bears could lose a game anyone can.Â Two eye openers here:Â Of the seahwaks 9 losses all of them were by 15 points or more.Â When they lose they get blown out.Â That may be the craziest stat Iâve heard in a long time.Â The Saints just so you know are 1-8 ATS against teams with losing records.Â That may seem to balance things out.Â Oh, but then thereâs the money line.Â Brace yourself: Saints â 600 Seahwaks +450.Â That is wager $100 on Seattle and if they win you get $450.Â But you have to wager $600 on the saints to win $100.Â Rooting for the Saints is about as much fun as rooting for the Lions over the Christians in the coliseum.Â Not much fun, but the inevitable winners.
Thatâs how I see it.Â Enjoy the games